Thursday, June 20, 2013

Now It Makes Sense Why Germany Is Talking About Stimulus Easing Up On Austerity

The big chatter these days in Europe has to do with easing up on austerity, and even, gasp, seeing some fiscal stimulus out of Germany.

Why has it taken this long?

Because it took this long for the German economy to finally start to wobble. But now there are increasing signs that it's happening.

From Bloomberg's Stefan Riecher:

The number of people out of work climbed a seasonally adjusted 21,000 to 2.96 million, the Nuremberg-based Federal Labor Agency said today. That’s the fourth straight monthly gain. Economists predicted an increase of 5,000, according to the median of 35 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. The adjusted jobless rate held at 6.9 percent, just above a two-decade low of 6.8 percent.

Remember, the big trend is that while Europe collapses, the German employment picture has looked absolutely fantastic throughout the crisis.

germany unemployment rate versus eurozoneNatixis

So there's been no impetus to change the status quo.

But if the German situation stops looking so hot, then that changes things.

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